Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.000111 0.000123 0.000136 0.000151 0.000167 0.000185 0.000206
2025-11-30 0.000093 0.000110 0.000128 0.000151 0.000177 0.000208 0.000245
2025-12-07 0.000080 0.000098 0.000120 0.000149 0.000184 0.000227 0.000283
2025-12-14 0.000071 0.000091 0.000117 0.000150 0.000195 0.000251 0.000329
2025-12-21 0.000063 0.000085 0.000112 0.000151 0.000204 0.000273 0.000373
2025-12-28 0.000057 0.000078 0.000108 0.000150 0.000210 0.000292 0.000415
2026-01-04 0.000052 0.000075 0.000106 0.000152 0.000220 0.000317 0.000468
2026-01-11 0.000048 0.000070 0.000103 0.000152 0.000228 0.000339 0.000517
2026-01-18 0.000044 0.000066 0.000099 0.000152 0.000234 0.000358 0.000565
2026-01-25 0.000041 0.000063 0.000096 0.000151 0.000239 0.000376 0.000612
2026-02-01 0.000038 0.000060 0.000094 0.000151 0.000245 0.000397 0.000664
2026-02-08 0.000035 0.000056 0.000091 0.000149 0.000248 0.000412 0.000708
2026-02-15 0.000032 0.000054 0.000088 0.000148 0.000254 0.000432 0.000765
2026-02-22 0.000030 0.000051 0.000086 0.000149 0.000260 0.000455 0.000828
2026-03-01 0.000028 0.000049 0.000083 0.000147 0.000264 0.000473 0.000883
2026-03-08 0.000027 0.000047 0.000083 0.000149 0.000274 0.000503 0.000965
2026-03-15 0.000025 0.000046 0.000081 0.000150 0.000281 0.000528 0.001040
2026-03-22 0.000024 0.000044 0.000079 0.000149 0.000286 0.000548 0.001106
2026-03-29 0.000023 0.000043 0.000079 0.000151 0.000296 0.000581 0.001201
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000041 0.000077 0.000151 0.000303 0.000607 0.001286
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000040 0.000076 0.000151 0.000308 0.000630 0.001365
2026-04-19 0.000019 0.000038 0.000074 0.000150 0.000312 0.000651 0.001443
2026-04-26 0.000018 0.000037 0.000073 0.000150 0.000318 0.000677 0.001534